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標題: 一檔基金因為買VIX期貨的put翻轉人生 [打印本頁]
作者: sec2100 時間: 2018-2-15 08:39
標題: 一檔基金因為買VIX期貨的put翻轉人生
本帖最後由 sec2100 於 2018-2-15 08:53 編輯
https://www.marketwatch.com/stor ... disaster-2018-02-14
Last week, while countless others were getting annihilated, Lincoln Edwards saw the millions of dollars he manages for a small Austin, Texas-based hedge fund double in the span of just 15 minutes, thanks to a wicked spike in volatility that rattled the stock market and blew up one of Wall Street’s most popular — and profitable — trades.
A 6,000% return on a single position will do that for you.
“We basically bought what amounts to insurance against a hurricane destroying our house,” Edwards said in an interview on Wednesday. “We couldn’t have predicted when this storm would hit, but if we hadn’t protected ourselves, we would have been completely knocked out.”
There were plenty of others who, indeed, were completely knocked out.
After all, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +1.03% had registered its biggest drop in several years, which triggered a swift surge in the “fear gauge” VIX, -22.87% and gutted those betting heavily on the market serenity to continue.
One retail trader shared his story of losing $4 million overnight when the VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short Term ETN XIV, -1.69% lost nearly all its value. A similar fate would have befallen Edwards had he not bought puts on the ProShares Short VIX Short-Term futures ETF SVXY, -0.95% an alternative to the XIV.
“It was mostly just part of our risk management process,” he explained. “Always cap the downside.”
‘People were laughing at us, saying this could never happen, this should never happen.’Justin Borus
Edwards, of course, wasn’t the only fortunate options-buyer to ring up profits from the chaos. Another story of a VIX-related windfall last week came out of Denver, where traders at a hedge fund turned a $200,000 bet into a $17.5-million payday.
“People were laughing at us, saying this could never happen, this should never happen,” Justin Borus, the 41-year-old founder and manager at Ibex Investors, told Bloomberg last week. “We saw people pricing this as a 1-in-5,000 event, but it was more like a one-in-five-year event.”
As for Edwards, his epic trade was more than just a lottery ticket.
Like so many others players in the volatility space, he had capitalized on the stock market’s historic calm over the past year, with his Houndstooth Capital Management clients enjoying an impressive 104% return in 2017. While that kind of performance is fantastic for any fund, it would have been much better for Houndstooth if it wasn’t for the cost of keeping those protections in place.
“We never would have put that XIV trade on without protection,” he said, even if it meant missing out on some of the upside other volatility traders did. But nobody’s complaining about that now.
What’s next? Edwards is currently in wait-and-see mode.
“How the dust settles is unclear,” he said. “Either the short volatility crowd could get significantly thinned out or we could see people double down.”
In the meantime, Edwards has shifted his clients into cash until he figures out his next move. “No shame in being cautious in this ambiguous market,” he said.
作者: Ys168 時間: 2018-2-15 17:13
本帖最後由 Ys168 於 2018-2-15 17:15 編輯
相關類似新聞：
VIX神秘大買家「50分」逆轉勝 靠著美股大跌賺進2億美元
https://news.cnyes.com/news/id/4043841
上周美股大震盪，被市場稱為「50 分」（50 cent）的交易員，操作績效戲劇性的大逆轉，靠著買進 VIX（被稱為市場恐慌指數）期權買權，大賺 4.31 億美元，由原本虧損 1.97 億美元逆轉為獲利 1.83 億美元，成為市場大贏家。
與饒舌歌手同名的「50 分」，以買進 Cboe 的 Vix 波動率指數期權買權而著稱，通常操作策略是股票價格下跌且波動率上升，就可從中獲利，從而有助於限制股票部位的損失。
作者: sec2100 時間: 2018-2-15 20:01
ys168所說的50分先生的舉措:
https://www.marketwatch.com/stor ... ty-spike-2018-02-13
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