九月不是美股投資好節氣，但多頭年份，可能會不同
本帖最後由 sec2100 於 2021-8-28 09:38 編輯https://finance.yahoo.com/news/w ... zing-222541290.html
September has been the worst month of the year for the S&P 500, with the benchmark index falling an average of 0.56% since 1945, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. The S&P has advanced only 45% of the time in September, the lowest rate of any month, CFRA’s data showed.
This time around, stocks have momentum on their side. The S&P 500 notched its 52nd record closing high of the year on Friday and has gained 20% so far in 2021, having gone 287 calendar days without a pullback of 5% or more.
That type of performance has signaled comparatively strong returns in the past. The index has gone on to deliver a median gain of 5.2% for the rest of the year during years when it made 30 or more new highs through August, according to data from LPL Financial. That compares with a median gain of 3.6% for all years, the firm's data showed. Investors have also been cutting back on leverage, with margin debt dropping 4.3% to $844 billion in July even as the S&P advanced more than 2%, according to data from BofA Global Research. The S&P 500 has been lower 71% of the time one year after a peak in margin debt has been reached, the bank’s analysis showed. Some investors remain ready to jump on any downswings brought on by higher volatility in the coming weeks. "If we do see a pullback in September, I would definitely be telling our clients, 'take this as a buying opportunity,'" said Janasiewicz.
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