SB這個人是裸賣選擇權者，但下面他這文章寫的很好。

EntrepreneurOPs

chinan 發表於 2019-1-23 20:57
啊哈!  

早些年我用統計來做下單依據,現在用盤感來下單.

羨慕您的境界
我自覺還待在見林不見樹的階段
難怪年報酬10%是我的目標
差神人還是太多了

ant1964

幫主希望我們多學點英文啦

sec2100

chinan 發表於 2019-1-23 20:57
啊哈!  

早些年我用統計來做下單依據,現在用盤感來下單.

chinan，我現在也用盤感定多空，也常常去植物園看花、松鼠、只是蝴蝶比較少。

chinan

啊哈!  

早些年我用統計來做下單依據,現在用盤感來下單.

我大概看到了樹木，蝴蝶和松鼠了。

sec2100

I had many AHA moments in my life (followed by UGH moments), I wiped out once my account, I got many times frustrated (and got motivated again), so I stayed. But the huge problem for which nobody has an answer (at least if you exclude hindsight) is: should I continue and work hard? Or should I stop as it will never work? Will I ever have success?
Working hard and long does not guarantee any success. You only can know in hindsight that it was good or bad to continue. For me it was good, but it looked a few times very ugly.


Essential, and more important then hard working, is finding an edge, and for that out of the box thinking is more efficient then hard working. Most people worked harder than many billionaires, but these billionaires had an original idea and did not have to work hard and long. They achieved in a few years (or sometimes even shorter) things that 99% of people can even never achieve, even if they would hard for a few centuries (Google, Facebook, Twitter,Whatsapp...).

(有點類似自營家說的: 天道不一定酬勤，要找到長期能獲勝的方法比較重要)

sec2100

開二個腦洞的操作哲學:

For anyone that believes there is only one way to make consistent profits in the market, they are wrong. There are many, YOU the trader have to develop a method that works best for yourself, and hone it, trust it, and ultimately become so good at deploying this methodology that trading becomes boring. Ultimately for the stay at home self employed trader - your trading should have minimal impact on you emotionally as your equity constantly grows month after month.

The block for all traders is FEAR, after they have developed a methodology. The fear of putting on a trade because you might lose money, the fear that the market is going to move against you immediately because it knows you are about to put on a trade. So let me drill this into your head: the market is not a sentient being, it has no idea you Mr. Retail Trader exist, further the market knows nothing about your entries on the random time or tick chart or bars you are using, all the market does is move, its up to you the trader to find a trend and enter in the same direction and not get stopped out.

And why are you treating every trade like its a life and death situation? Why are you moving your stops because you have to win on THIS trade? Every trade is a random event, again it should not impact you emotionally. If you move your stop even one time, you are doing this business completely wrong. A small loss is cost of doing business, there will be many fat juicy trends in the future for you to make money - understand this, drill this into your thick head.

You won't GET IT one day, but after a prolonged time of trading correctly by never ever BREAKING YOUR RULES and becoming okay with taking a small loss and letting your winners run - which is very hard to do - then you can make consistent money in the markets.

sec2100

有人不同意他。


Sweet Bobby,
I disagree with this, politely. I do at times know what is going to happen tomorrow and the next hour and next 60 hours. There is an art to it and it takes time and energy to learn.

I don't know where you stand, but traders giving up on trying to understand directional moves and market prediction and settling with naked premium selling is dangerous. These traders struggling and giving up on predicting directional moves and rotating to the "holy grail" of premium selling is a dangerous recipe.

In actual experience, I have seen a very hard working new trader give up and rotate to premium selling. He got hit hard and it was an excellent lesson.